Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?
Current price
88.5¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 88.5%
$93.9K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves based on the official champion of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season, relying primarily on official Bundesliga information with credible reporting as a backup. Holders should be aware of two specific operational clauses: the market may resolve early to No as soon as Bayern Munich is mathematically eliminated from winning the title, and the market resolves to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed beyond June 14, 2027, or fails to declare a winner by that date.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Bundesliga. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Bundesliga per the rules of the Bundesliga (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Bayern Munich will win the 2026-27 Bundesliga championship.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Bayern Munich wins the 2026-27 Bundesliga. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for Bayern Munich to win the title under Bundesliga rules, such as being eliminated. The market resolves to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed past June 14, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared by that deadline. Official information from the Bundesliga serves as the primary resolution source, alongside a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Season resolution cutoff: — Deadline after which postponement, cancellation, or lack of a declared winner triggers resolution to Other.
Resolution source
Official information from the Bundesliga, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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