Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-10-21?
Current price
28.5¢
Implied probability 28.5%
$122.7 total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify that the market resolves to Yes if Racing Club de Lens wins within regular time plus stoppage time, and to No otherwise. There is a well-defined hierarchy of resolution sources starting with the official governing body, followed by Flashscore and Sofascore if official data is delayed. Specific edge cases such as postponements, cancellations, and data unavailability timeouts are explicitly addressed.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 21, 2026 If Racing Club de Lens wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Racing Club de Lens wins their match scheduled for October 21, 2026. The resolution depends solely on the result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Racing Club de Lens wins the match based on the score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The market resolves to No if Racing Club de Lens does not win, or if the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until completion. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, the market resolves 50-50, or to Draw where applicable. Resolution is determined by official statistics from the governing body or event organizers. If official data is not published within 2 hours, Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting may be used sequentially. Later revisions are disregarded.
Key dates
- Scheduled match date: — The date the game is scheduled to take place.
Resolution source
Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers, with fallbacks to Flashscore, Sofascore, or credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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