Will Bayer Leverkusen be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?
Current price
1.6¢
−0.25¢ · 24h
Implied probability 1.6%
$52.9K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market straightforwardly tracks which club wins the official 2026-27 Bundesliga title. Early resolution to 'No' occurs once mathematical elimination makes winning the title impossible under league rules. Official Bundesliga information serves as the primary source, with consensus reporting available as a secondary fallback. A specific cutoff date of June 14, 2027, governs outcomes if the season is delayed or left without an official winner, resolving to 'Other' under those conditions.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Bundesliga. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Bundesliga per the rules of the Bundesliga (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Bayer Leverkusen will win the 2026-27 Bundesliga title.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Bayer Leverkusen wins the 2026-27 Bundesliga championship. The market resolves to No if at any point it becomes impossible for Bayer Leverkusen to win the title under Bundesliga rules, such as being eliminated. The market resolves to Other if the 2026-27 season is cancelled, postponed beyond June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared by that deadline. The primary resolution source is official information from the Bundesliga, with a consensus of credible reporting acting as an alternative.
Key dates
- Season resolution cutoff: — Market resolves to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed past this time, or no winner is declared.
Resolution source
Official information from the Bundesliga or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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