Will Borussia Dortmund be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?
Current price
5.5¢
−1.5¢ · 24h
Implied probability 5.5%
$56.6K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
Show less
This market resolves based on the official winner of the 2026-27 Bundesliga title according to the league, with credible reporting as a secondary source. The outcome features an early resolution mechanic where the market will settle to 'No' as soon as mathematical elimination occurs. A hard cutoff is set for June 14, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, after which cancellation or the absence of an official winner triggers a resolution to 'Other'.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Bundesliga. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Bundesliga per the rules of the Bundesliga (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Borussia Dortmund wins the 2026-27 Bundesliga championship.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Borussia Dortmund wins the 2026-27 Bundesliga. The market resolves to No if at any point it becomes impossible for Borussia Dortmund to win the championship under Bundesliga rules. The market resolves to Other if the 2026-27 season is cancelled, postponed past June 14, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared by that time. Resolution is decided using official information from the Bundesliga, with a consensus of credible reporting serving as a secondary source.
Key dates
- Season resolution deadline: — The market resolves to Other if the season is postponed past this date or no winner is declared by this time.
Resolution source
Official information from the Bundesliga, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
Community forecasting arrives with the forecast tools.