Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?
Current price
26.5¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 26.5%
$37.8K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution criteria clearly specify that an announcement of bankruptcy from company officials or official channels before the end of 2029 triggers a positive outcome. An explicit announcement is sufficient even if a formal court filing has not yet taken place. While resolution can rely on a consensus of credible media reporting in addition to direct corporate statements, the event being tracked is standard and well-defined, leaving little room for unexpected interpretations.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NuScale announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents NuScale. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether NuScale will announce a bankruptcy filing by December 31, 2029. Notably, an official announcement or definitive reporting suffices for resolution, regardless of whether or when an actual bankruptcy filing occurs.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if NuScale announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2029, at 11:59 PM ET. The announcement must come via NuScale's official or verified channels, or through a recorded or written statement by its CEO, legal representation, or other official representative. A definitive consensus of credible reporting also qualifies for a Yes resolution. An announcement suffices regardless of if or when the actual filing happens. Otherwise, the market resolves to No.
Key dates
- Resolution deadline: — The market resolves based on announcements made by 11:59 PM ET on this date.
Resolution source
Official or verified channels of NuScale, statements from NuScale representatives, or a definitive consensus of credible reporting
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