OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?
3 live outcomes · highest priced: December 31, 2029 at 22% · first close Jan 1, 2028 · $338.1K total volume
About this event
This event tracks whether OpenAI will announce that it has filed or will file for bankruptcy on or before specific future cutoff dates. Each market corresponds to a distinct calendar year deadline.
How the outcomes relate
The event consists of a timeline ladder of specific deadline dates. Because each market measures whether an announcement happens by a given deadline, an earlier qualifying announcement would satisfy the conditions for both the earlier deadline and subsequent deadline markets, allowing more than one market to resolve Yes.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if OpenAI announces by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date that it has filed or will file for any variety of bankruptcy. An announcement suffices even if no actual filing has yet occurred. The announcement must be made through OpenAI's official or verified channels, by its CEO, legal representation, or official representatives, or established via a definitive consensus of credible reporting. If no such announcement occurs by the deadline, the market resolves to No.
Key dates
- December 31, 2027 deadline: — Deadline at 11:59 PM ET for the 2027 market resolution.
- December 31, 2028 deadline: — Deadline at 11:59 PM ET for the 2028 market resolution.
- December 31, 2029 deadline: — Deadline at 11:59 PM ET for the 2029 market resolution.
Resolution source
Official or verified OpenAI channels, statements by its CEO, legal representation, or official representatives, or a definitive consensus of credible reporting.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2029 | 22% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| December 31, 2028 | 17% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| December 31, 2027 | 8% | ±0 | Med | High |