Fed Decision in January?

This event tracks the Federal Open Market Committee's interest rate decision following its January 2027 meeting. Markets measure the specific basis point change in the upper bound of the target federal funds range compared to the level set prior to the meeting.

How the outcomes relate

Markets represent mutually exclusive brackets of interest rate changes (increases, decreases, or no change). Because each market corresponds to a specific bracket of basis point changes, at most one outcome can resolve Yes.

How it resolves

Markets resolve based on the change in the upper bound of the target federal funds range after the January 2027 FOMC meeting compared to its level prior to the meeting. A specific market resolves Yes if the actual change matches its bracket, with non-standard changes rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points. If no statement is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, the event resolves to the No change bracket.

Key dates

• FOMC January 2027 meeting start: Jan 26, 2027 — Start date of the scheduled FOMC meeting.
• FOMC January 2027 meeting end: Jan 27, 2027 — End date of the scheduled FOMC meeting.

Resolution source

FOMC statement and the official website of the Federal Reserve

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash · 17 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC