EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Minnesota Senate Election Margin of Victory
Change in points, 24hView event →
Democrat 5-10% · Since Oct 17Range 32–33%
Markets
1,941 live Polymarket markets in 592 events- LowGotcha
Will the Republican Party win the IL-08 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver4.5¢−1¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.5–5.5¢ - LowGotcha
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks96.5¢+1.45¢ 7d7 daysRange 95.05–96.65¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Republican Party win the LA-04 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGHResolver94.5¢±0¢ 7d7 daysFlat at 94.5¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Republicans win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks1.1¢−0.25¢ 7d7 daysRange 1.1–1.75¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Republican Party win the NY-04 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver6.5¢−2.65¢ 7d7 daysRange 6.1–9.25¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
South Dakota Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Larry Rhoden (R) · Since 00:56 UTCFlat at 98% - LowGotcha
Cavaliers vs. 76ers
No resolution risks flagged4 checks41.5¢±0¢ since 00:56 UTCSince 00:56 UTCFlat at 41.5¢ - LowGotcha
Knicks vs. Celtics
No resolution risks flagged4 checks45.5¢−0.5¢ since 00:56 UTCSince 00:56 UTCRange 45.5–46¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?
Change in points, 24hView event →December 31, 2029 · 7 daysRange 19–22% - LowGotcha
Will the Republican Party win the CA-41 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverTiming4.1¢±0¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.95–4.45¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Republican Party win the TN-08 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver96.7¢−0.65¢ since Oct 14Since Oct 14Range 96.15–97.35¢ - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Michigan Senate Election Margin of Victory
Change in points, 24hView event →El-Sayed 0-3% · Since 00:56 UTCFlat at 24% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
CT-05 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Jahana Hayes (D) · 7 daysRange 94–96% - LowGotcha
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver6¢−0.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 5.45–7¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Aston Villa FC vs. Viking FK - More Markets
Change in points, 24hView event →Aston Villa FC (-1.5) · Since 00:56 UTCRange 59–60% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
South Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory
Change in points, 24hView event →Graham 5-10% · Since Oct 14Range 28–30% - LowGotcha
Will the Republican Party win the CT-03 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGHResolver3.65¢−0.1¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.4–4.35¢ - LowGotcha
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks7.1¢+0.35¢ since Oct 16Since Oct 16Range 5.9–7.2¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Florida Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Ashley Moody (R) · 7 daysFlat at 91% - LowGotcha
Will Hyperliquid dip to $30 by December 31, 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks3.45¢−0.1¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.45–3.8¢ - LowGotcha
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks2.2¢−0.4¢ 7d7 daysRange 2.2–2.85¢ - LowGotcha
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks1.95¢−0.25¢ since Oct 14Since Oct 14Range 1.9–2.2¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
NY-21 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Anthony Constantino (R) · 7 daysRange 72–75% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
Change in points, 24hView event →Shutdown & Democratic Party · 7 daysRange 91–92% - LowGotcha
Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver28.5¢+3¢ 7d7 daysRange 25.5–29¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
AZ-01 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Amish Shah (D) · Since Oct 18Range 82–83% - LowGotcha
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-06 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver15.5¢−1¢ 7d7 daysRange 14–18.5¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Republican Party win the IA-01 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver10.5¢−2¢ 7d7 daysRange 9–12.5¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Republican Party win the IA-03 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver18.5¢−3¢ 7d7 daysRange 16–21.5¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Republican Party win the MI-03 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGHResolver3.55¢−0.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.5–4.3¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Republican Party win the MO-05 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver2.75¢+0.45¢ 7d7 daysRange 2.25–2.75¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Republican Party win the NV-03 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverTiming5¢+0.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.5–5.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
NH-02 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Maggie Goodlander (D) · 7 daysRange 95–98% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?
Change in points, 24hView event →Joint List · 7 daysRange 4–5% - LowGotcha
Will the Republican Party win the OH-09 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver26.5¢+0.5¢ since Oct 14Since Oct 14Range 26–28.5¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Republican Party win the PA-07 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver13.5¢±0¢ 7d7 daysRange 13.5–14¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Republican Party win the PA-17 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver2.65¢−1.25¢ 7d7 daysRange 2.25–4.8¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
TX-09 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Alex Mealer (R) · Since Oct 17Flat at 84% - LowGotcha
Will the Republican Party win the UT-01 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGHResolver3.8¢+0.05¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.55–4¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
UT-02 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Blake Moore (R) · 7 daysRange 93–95% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Next Premier of British Columbia
Change in points, 24hView event →Peter Milobar · 7 daysFlat at <1% - LowGotcha
Solana all time high by December 31, 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks2.9¢±0¢ 7d7 daysRange 2.75–3.3¢ - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?
Change in points, 24hView event →December 31, 2027 · 7 daysRange 19–22% - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by...?
Change in points, 24hView event →December 31, 2027 · 7 daysRange 17–22% - LowGotcha
Nuggets vs. Thunder
No resolution risks flagged4 checks27.5¢−1.5¢ since 00:56 UTCSince 00:56 UTCRange 27.5–30.5¢ - LowGotcha
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver4.5¢±0¢ 7d7 daysFlat at 4.5¢ - LowGotcha
NATO dissolves before 2027?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUMResolverExceptions1.3¢+0.1¢ 7d7 daysRange 1.2–1.3¢