Florida Senate Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Ashley Moody (R) at 91% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $232.4K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate special election. Markets within the event measure whether a specific political party's nominee wins the seat, inclusive of any run-offs.
How the outcomes relate
The event contains distinct markets structured around political parties and their nominees. Because the event resolves based on the single winner of the Senate race, at most one market can resolve Yes. If a named nominee is replaced before election day, the market follows the replacement nominee.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if its party's nominee wins the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate special election, including run-offs; otherwise, it resolves to No. Resolution occurs once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources do not call the race for the same candidate, resolution relies on official certification. Independent candidates are not encompassed by the major party options.
Key dates
- Election Day: — Currently scheduled date for the special election.
Resolution source
Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC, or official certification
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Moody (R) | 91% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Angie Nixon (D) | 10% | ±0 | Low | High |