Will Peter Milobar be the next Premier of British Columbia?
Current price
0.05¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.05%
$942.2 total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify the conditions for resolution: the named individual must be formally sworn in as Premier of British Columbia following the scheduled 2026 provincial election. Interim or caretaker roles are explicitly excluded. There is a precise backstop deadline of June 30, 2027, resolving to Other if no appointment occurs. Resolution relies on official government records, backed by credible reporting, leaving very little room for ambiguity or dispute.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Thin book — large orders will move this price. At the daily check: a spread of 5¢ or more (or none quoted), or less than $2K within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
The 2026 British Columbia general election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026 to elect members of the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of British Columbia as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of British Columbia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Peter Milobar will become the next Premier of British Columbia following the 2026 general election.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Peter Milobar is formally appointed and sworn in as Premier of British Columbia as a result of the 2026 general election, while interim or caretaker appointments do not count. The market resolves to No if another individual is formally sworn in as Premier following the election. The market resolves to Other if no Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. The primary deciding source is official information from the Government of British Columbia, alongside a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Scheduled election date: — Scheduled date of the 2026 British Columbia general election.
- Resolution cutoff: — If no Premier is appointed by 11:59 PM ET on this date, the market resolves to Other.
Resolution source
Official information from the Government of British Columbia, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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