Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?
Current price
6.65¢
−0.05¢ · 24h
Implied probability 6.65%
$149.1K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market features clear, objective criteria with very low operational risk. Resolution relies strictly on a single specified data feed: 1-minute candle high prices on the Lighter LIT/USDC trading pair directly from the provided URL. It triggers an immediate Yes resolution if any candle reaches or exceeds $10 during the defined timeframe ending December 31, 2026, and otherwise resolves to No. Other exchanges and trading pairs are explicitly excluded, leaving virtually no room for decider discretion or timing confusion.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Lighter 1-minute candle for Lighter (LIT/USDC) between December 30, 2025, 14:25 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Lighter, specifically the LIT/USDC “High” prices available at: https://app.lighter.xyz/trade/LIT_USDC with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Only the Lighter LIT/USDC price feed will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the LIT/USDC trading pair on Lighter reaches a high price of $10 or more before 2027. It relies strictly on Lighter's 1-minute candle data rather than any other exchange or market.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any 1-minute candle for LIT/USDC has a final High price equal to or greater than $10 between December 30, 2025, 14:25 ET and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. Resolution is determined strictly by the Lighter LIT/USDC 1-minute chart. Prices from other trading pairs, spot markets, or exchanges do not count.
Key dates
- Tracking start time: — First 1-minute candle eligible for resolution
- Tracking end time: — Final 1-minute candle eligible for resolution
Resolution source
Lighter LIT/USDC 1-minute price chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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