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Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?

Current price

10.5¢

±0¢ · 24h

Implied probability 10.5%
$31.7K total volume · YES/NO

7-day range 10.5–15.5¢

Low gotcha risk

Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment

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The rules provide thorough, unambiguous criteria defining what constitutes an enacted statewide moratorium, explicitly specifying capacity thresholds, what types of measures count, and what forms of executive or conditional actions are excluded. Resolution relies on official North Carolina legislative and state records, with clear rules detailing that enactment—rather than effective dates, court challenges, or post-enactment repeal—governs the outcome by the fixed deadline.

Wording ambiguity
Low
Source discretion
Low
Timing risk
Low
Exceptional clauses
Low

Liquidity

High tradability

Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.

Book depth $30.6K within 5¢ of mid
Price history range

Price history

Market price
10.2¢10.4¢10.6¢10.8¢17:4601:4509:4317:41
10¢12¢14¢16¢Oct 12Oct 15Oct 17Oct 19
10¢12¢14¢16¢Oct 7Oct 11Oct 15Oct 19

Why it moved

No big moves in the last 7 days.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the State of North Carolina enacts a law or constitutional provision that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data centers between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A statewide moratorium on new data centers refers to a binding policy with legal force that generally prohibits or suspends the approval, permitting, construction, grid interconnection, or operation of all new data centers, or a subset of data centers that includes all new data centers with an interconnection capacity above 100 MW per facility (requested or nameplate), throughout the state. Suspensions of tax incentives, exemption certifications, or economic development awards alone will not qualify, nor will a moratorium adopted by a local government or limited to part of the state. Specific exemptions (e.g., for specified applications, executed agreements, or interconnection requests) do not prevent a measure from generally applying to all new data centers, or a qualifying subset of new data centers, provided that data center approval, permitting, construction, grid interconnection, or operation is prohibited by default, rather than permitted subject to conditions or restrictions. Conditions on the resumption or termination of a suspension do not make a measure one that permits subject to conditions; a measure that suspends approvals, permitting, construction, or interconnection until a specified condition is satisfied qualifies. Enactment occurs when a bill becomes law under the state's constitution and laws, whether by gubernatorial signature, veto override, becoming law without signature, approval at a statewide referendum election, or any other legal mechanism by which statutes can be enacted. For an initiated or referred statute or constitutional amendment, or other voter referendum, the relevant law is considered to have been enacted on the election day on which it was approved, as reflected in the certified results, regardless of when the measure is certified or takes effect. Passage by one or both chambers, or a Governor's announced intent to sign, is not enactment. Executive orders, agency orders, and other measures which are not statutory or constitutional do not qualify as enactment regardless of legal force. A provision removed by line-item veto is not enacted unless the veto is overridden as to that item. The operative text of the measure at enactment controls; provisions amended out before enactment do not qualify. The moratorium provision must be mandatory on its face. A statute that merely authorizes a state agency or the Governor to impose a moratorium at their discretion does not qualify. A statute that directs suspension of approvals or interconnection upon a specified condition qualifies only if the condition is objectively determinable and is not deferred to be determined by the implementing agency's findings, certifications, or completion of its own proceedings. This market resolves based on the date of enactment, not the effective date. Resolution will not be affected by failure to implement a law, judicial invalidation, repeal, or expiry that follows a relevant enactment, or an effective date that comes after the date of enactment. The primary resolution source will be official information from the state government of North Carolina; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Rules history

Rules history is not displayed yet.

Market explained

This market measures whether the State of North Carolina enacts a legally binding, mandatory statewide moratorium on new data centers by June 30, 2027.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if North Carolina enacts a statutory law or constitutional provision establishing a mandatory statewide moratorium on new data centers (or all new data centers exceeding 100 MW capacity) between market creation and June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. The moratorium must prohibit or suspend approval, permitting, construction, interconnection, or operation by default; tax incentive suspensions, local bans, non-statutory executive/agency orders, and discretionary agency authorizations do not qualify. It resolves to No if no such statewide law is enacted by the deadline. Subsequent repeals, invalidations, or future effective dates do not alter resolution. Resolution is determined by official information from the North Carolina state government or a consensus of credible reporting.

Key dates

  • Cutoff date: — Enactment must occur by 11:59 PM ET on this date.

Resolution source

Official information from the state government of North Carolina, or a consensus of credible reporting

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