UT-02 House Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Blake Moore (R) at 93% (−2 pts in 24h) · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $32.1K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 election for Utah's 2nd congressional district (UT-02) in the U.S. House of Representatives. Markets measure which political party or candidate wins the seat in the midterm elections.
How the outcomes relate
Each market corresponds to a specific political party winning the single congressional seat. Since only one winning candidate and affiliated party can claim the seat, at most one market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
Each market resolves to Yes if a candidate affiliated with the specified party wins the UT-02 House seat in the 2026 midterm elections; otherwise, it resolves to No. Party affiliation is determined by ballot listing or identifiable affiliation when elections are called, or by the party with which an unaffiliated candidate most recently expressed intent to caucus. Resolution is decided by a consensus of credible reporting, or by official results from the Federal Election Commission (FEC) if ambiguity arises.
Key dates
- Election Day: — The 2026 midterm elections take place.
Resolution source
A consensus of credible reporting, or official results from the Federal Election Commission
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Moore (R) | 93% | ▼ 2 | Low | Med | |
| Peter Crosby (D) | 6% | ▼ 1 | Low | Med |