PolymarketEvent1 live of 2 outcomes

NH-02 House Election Winner

1 live outcome · highest priced: Maggie Goodlander (D) at 98% (+1 pts in 24h) · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $51.7K total volume

About this event

This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election for New Hampshire's 2nd Congressional District (NH-02), measuring which political party or candidate wins the seat.

How the outcomes relate

The event contains markets representing different political parties or candidates competing for a single congressional seat. Because only one winner is elected to the seat, at most one market can resolve Yes.

How it resolves

Each market resolves to Yes if the candidate affiliated with the specified political party wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the 2026 midterm elections; otherwise, it resolves to No. Party affiliation is determined by ballot listing, identifiable affiliation, or expressed intent to caucus at the time all 2026 House elections are conclusively called. Resolution is based on a consensus of credible reporting, or official results from the Federal Election Commission if there is ambiguity.

Key dates

  • Election Day: — Date of the 2026 midterm elections.

Resolution source

Consensus of credible reporting, with the Federal Election Commission as the fallback source for official results in case of ambiguity.

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Outcomes for NH-02 House Election Winner
OutcomePrice24hGotcha riskTradabilityCloses
Maggie Goodlander (D)98%▲ 1LowMed
Lily Tang Williams (R)3%±0LowMed

Highest-priced outcome

Maggie Goodlander (D) · 7 daysRange 94–98%