Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)
Current price
39¢
Implied probability 39%
$920.4 total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify the condition for resolution: Aston Villa FC must win by 3 or more goals within regular time plus stoppage time, otherwise the market resolves to Viking FK. The resolution source is well-defined, relying primarily on official UEFA statistics, with a clear chronological fallback hierarchy (Flashscore, Sofascore, consensus reporting) if official data is delayed. Specific handling for postponements, cancellations, and a 2-hour reporting buffer are explicitly detailed.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for October 21 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Aston Villa FC" if Aston Villa FC win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Viking FK". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Aston Villa FC covers a -2.5 goal spread against Viking FK in their scheduled UEFA Champions League match. The market only considers the score after regular play and stoppage time.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Aston Villa FC if Aston Villa FC wins the match by 3 or more goals within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, the market resolves to Viking FK. The market resolves 50-50 if the match is canceled entirely without a make-up game, or if no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of completion. Postponed games keep the market open until played. Official statistics on uefa.com decide the outcome. If UEFA has not published stats within 2 hours of completion, Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Key dates
- Match date and time: — Scheduled kickoff time in Eastern Time.
Resolution source
uefa.com
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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