Knicks vs. Celtics
Current price
45.5¢
Implied probability 45.5%
$59.5 total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves cleanly based on the final official score of the specified NBA game, including any overtime. Clear contingency rules cover potential schedule disruptions by holding the market open if postponed or splitting the outcome evenly if the game is canceled without a make-up date. The event outcome is binary and publicly verifiable with virtually no room for interpretation.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 23 at 7:00PM ET: If the Knicks win, the market will resolve to "Knicks". If the Celtics win, the market will resolve to "Celtics". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures the winner of the scheduled NBA game between the New York Knicks and the Boston Celtics. The market resolves 50-50 if the game is canceled entirely without a make-up game.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Knicks if the Knicks win the game based on the final score including any overtime periods. The market resolves to Celtics if the Celtics win the game based on the final score including any overtime periods. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game is completed. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves 50-50.
Key dates
- Scheduled game start: — The game is scheduled for October 23 at 7:00PM ET.
Resolution source
No resolution source is identified in this explainer.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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