Nuggets vs. Thunder
Current price
27.5¢
Implied probability 27.5%
$5 total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market follows a straightforward sports outcome format based on the final score, explicitly accounting for overtime. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until completion, and an outright cancellation results in an even split. While an explicit official data source like NBA.com is not named, official game results are objective and universally reported, leaving minimal room for decider latitude or unexpected resolution.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 22 at 9:30PM ET: If the Nuggets win, the market will resolve to "Nuggets". If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures the winner of the NBA game between the Denver Nuggets and the Oklahoma City Thunder.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Nuggets if the Denver Nuggets win the game based on the final score, including any overtime periods. The market resolves to Thunder if the Oklahoma City Thunder win. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until it is completed. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves 50-50.
Key dates
- Scheduled game start: — The game is scheduled for October 22 at 9:30PM ET.
Resolution source
No resolution source is identified in this explainer.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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