Will Emily Lowan be the next Premier of British Columbia?
Current price
0.05¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.05%
$3.1K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market clearly defines resolution around the individual formally sworn in as Premier of British Columbia following the scheduled 2026 provincial election. It explicitly excludes caretaker or interim appointments and provides a firm long-stop deadline of June 30, 2027, resolving to Other if no appointment occurs. Resolution relies on official government records, backed by credible consensus reporting if necessary.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Thin book — large orders will move this price. At the daily check: a spread of 5¢ or more (or none quoted), or less than $2K within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
The 2026 British Columbia general election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026 to elect members of the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of British Columbia as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of British Columbia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market tracks whether Emily Lowan is formally appointed and sworn in as the next Premier of British Columbia following the 2026 general election. Interim or caretaker heads of government do not qualify.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Emily Lowan is formally appointed and sworn in as the Premier of British Columbia as a result of the 2026 British Columbia general election. Interim or caretaker heads of government do not count. The market resolves to No if another specific eligible individual is appointed and sworn in instead. The market resolves to Other if no Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution decisions are based primarily on official information from the Government of British Columbia, with a consensus of credible reporting accepted as an alternative.
Key dates
- Scheduled election date: — Scheduled date of the 2026 British Columbia general election.
- Resolution cutoff deadline: — Market resolves to Other if no Premier is appointed by 11:59 PM ET on this date.
Resolution source
Official information from the Government of British Columbia, or a consensus of credible reporting
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