Solana all time high by December 31, 2026?
Current price
2.9¢
−0.05¢ · 24h
Implied probability 2.9%
$23.1K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves based on a specific, objective numeric metric: Binance 1-minute candle high prices for the SOL/USDT pair. The resolution source is explicitly defined with the exact trading pair and chart timeframe. Participants should note that only Binance data counts, meaning a new all-time high achieved on other exchanges or spot markets will not trigger a positive resolution unless it is also registered in the Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute candle data.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT between 16 December '25 11:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Solana reaches a new all-time high price against USDT on Binance by December 31, 2026. It relies exclusively on 1-minute candle data from Binance rather than a broader market index or other spot exchanges.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for SOL/USDT between December 16, 2025, at 11:30 and December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET records a final High price that is higher than any previous Binance 1-minute candle High price on any prior date. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches a new high during this window. Resolution is decided strictly using Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute candle data.
Key dates
- Start of tracking window: — Evaluation begins at 11:30
- Market end date: — Evaluation concludes at 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Binance
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
Community forecasting arrives with the forecast tools.