TX-09 House Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Alex Mealer (R) at 84% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $36.6K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the U.S. House of Representatives election for Texas's 9th congressional district (TX-09) in the 2026 midterm elections, measuring which political party will win the seat.
How the outcomes relate
The event consists of separate markets for competing political parties/candidates. Because only one winning candidate represents the congressional district, at most one market can resolve Yes based on the winning party affiliation.
How it resolves
Each market resolves to Yes if the candidate affiliated with the specified political party wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the 2026 midterm elections; otherwise, it resolves to No. Party affiliation is determined by ballot listing, identifiable affiliation, or expressed intent to caucus at the time all 2026 House elections are conclusively called. Resolution is based on a consensus of credible reporting, with official results from the Federal Election Commission serving as the fallback source if there is ambiguity.
Key dates
- Midterm Elections: — The date of the 2026 midterm elections.
Resolution source
A consensus of credible reporting, with the Federal Election Commission as the official fallback.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Mealer (R) | 84% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Leticia Gutierrez (D) | 17% | ±0 | Low | High |