NY-21 House Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Anthony Constantino (R) at 75% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $97.9K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election for New York's 21st congressional district. Individual markets measure which political party or candidate will win the seat.
How the outcomes relate
Each market corresponds to a specific political party or candidate contending for the NY-21 congressional seat. Because only one candidate can win the single House seat, at most one market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if the candidate affiliated with that party wins the NY-21 seat in the 2026 midterm elections. Party affiliation is determined by ballot listing or stated caucus intent when all House elections are called. Markets resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting, or solely on official Federal Election Commission results if ambiguity arises.
Key dates
- Election Day: — Date of the 2026 midterm elections.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, with the Federal Election Commission as the official fallback.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Constantino (R) | 75% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Blake Gendebien (D) | 27% | ▲ 1 | Low | High |