CT-05 House Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Jahana Hayes (D) at 96% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $11.7K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election for Connecticut's 5th congressional district (CT-05). Markets measure which political party will win the seat.
How the outcomes relate
Each market corresponds to a specific political party. Since only one candidate and party can win the single congressional district seat, at most one market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
Each market resolves to Yes if the candidate affiliated with the specified political party wins the CT-05 House seat in the 2026 midterm elections; otherwise, it resolves to No. Party affiliation is determined by ballot listing or identifiable affiliation when elections are called, or by the party the candidate most recently expressed intent to caucus with if unaffiliated. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting, with official Federal Election Commission results used if ambiguity exists.
Key dates
- Election Day: — The 2026 midterm elections take place.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, or the Federal Election Commission
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahana Hayes (D) | 96% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Chris Shea (R) | 3% | ▼ 1 | Low | Med |