Markets

318 live Polymarket markets in 194 events

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EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 315%±0 October 311%±0
Change in points, 24hView event →
December 31 · 7 daysRange 4–6%
$33.8K 24h vol · all outcomesCloses Nov 1
MedGotcha
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Closes Jan 1, 2027
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUM
ExceptionsResolver
42¢+1.5¢ 7d
7 daysRange 36.5–42¢
Med tradability$32.8K 24h vol
MedGotcha
Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?
Closes Nov 1
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUM
ResolverWording
0.25¢−0.35¢ 7d
7 daysRange 0.25–1.05¢
High tradability$30K 24h vol
MedGotcha
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Closes Jan 1, 2027
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUM
WordingExceptions
2.55¢−0.1¢ 7d
7 daysRange 2.35–2.65¢
High tradability$21K 24h vol
EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Saudi airspace closed by...?
December 3117%±0 October 315%±0
Change in points, 24hView event →
December 31 · Since Oct 15Flat at 17%
$16.1K 24h vol · all outcomesCloses Nov 1
MedGotcha
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?
Closes Jan 1, 2027
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 2 MEDIUM
ResolverWordingExceptions
6.85¢+2.7¢ 7d
7 daysRange 4.15–8.4¢
High tradability$14.9K 24h vol
MedGotcha
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?
Closes Jan 1, 2027
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 2 MEDIUM
ResolverWordingExceptions
17.5¢−4¢ 7d
7 daysRange 16–22.5¢
Med tradability$14.8K 24h vol
EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
December 3110%±0 October 311%±0
Change in points, 24hView event →
December 31 · 7 daysRange 9–13%
$14.1K 24h vol · all outcomesCloses Oct 31
EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
December 318%±0 October 311%±0
Change in points, 24hView event →
December 31 · 7 daysRange 7–9%
$11.8K 24h vol · all outcomesCloses Nov 1
MedGotcha
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Closes Jan 1, 2028
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 2 MEDIUM
ResolverWordingExceptions
9.5¢−1¢ 7d
7 daysRange 9.5–10.5¢
High tradability$10.5K 24h vol
MedGotcha
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
Closes Jan 1, 2027
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUM
ResolverWording
6¢±0¢ 7d
7 daysRange 5.5–7.5¢
High tradability$9.4K 24h vol
MedGotcha
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Closes Jan 1, 2027
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH
Resolver
3.85¢−1.65¢ 7d
7 daysRange 3.05–5.5¢
High tradability$9.3K 24h vol
MedGotcha
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Closes Jan 1, 2027
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUM
ResolverExceptions
6.5¢+1¢ 7d
7 daysRange 5.5–7¢
High tradability$8.1K 24h vol
MedGotcha
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?
Closes Jan 1, 2028
RESOLUTION RISKS · 3 MEDIUM
ResolverWordingExceptions
13.5¢±0¢ since 00:56 UTC
Since 00:56 UTCFlat at 13.5¢
High tradability$7.8K 24h vol
MedGotcha
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?
Closes Oct 31
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUM
ResolverExceptions
95.5¢+16¢ 7d
7 daysRange 79.5–95.5¢
High tradability$7.5K 24h vol
EVENT · 11 OUTCOMES
Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei87%▼ 1 No Head of State4%±0 Reza Pahlavi2%▼ 1 Alireza Arafi2%±0 Hassan Rouhani1%±0
+6 more outcomesView event →
$7.3K 24h vol · all outcomesCloses Dec 31
MedGotcha
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?
Closes Jan 1, 2027
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUM
TimingExceptions
2.25¢+0.5¢ 7d
7 daysRange 1.75–2.35¢
High tradability$7.2K 24h vol
MedGotcha
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Closes Jan 1, 2027
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUM
ResolverWording
8.5¢±0¢ since 00:56 UTC
Since 00:56 UTCFlat at 8.5¢
Med tradability$6K 24h vol
MedGotcha
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Closes Jan 1, 2027
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUM
ResolverWording
6.5¢+2¢ 7d
7 daysRange 4.5–10.5¢
High tradability$5.9K 24h vol
MedGotcha
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Closes Jan 1, 2027
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUM
ResolverWording
2.4¢−0.4¢ 7d
7 daysRange 2.35–2.9¢
High tradability$5.9K 24h vol
MedGotcha
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Closes Jan 1, 2027
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 2 MEDIUM
ResolverWordingExceptions
24.5¢−3¢ 7d
7 daysRange 22.5–29.5¢
Med tradability$5.6K 24h vol
EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
↓ $9563%—↓ $9028%—
Change in points, 24hView event →
↓ $95 · Since 00:56 UTCRange 55–78%
$5.5K 24h vol · all outcomesCloses Nov 1
EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Next Premier of British Columbia
Lorne Doerkson78%±0 David Eby23%±0
Change in points, 24hView event →
Lorne Doerkson · 7 daysRange 75–81%
$4.7K 24h vol · all outcomesCloses Oct 24
EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?
No Next Minister by Feb 2835%▲ 1 Gadi Eizenkot7%▼ 8
Change in points, 24hView event →
No Next Minister by Feb 28 · 7 daysRange 30–43%
$4.3K 24h vol · all outcomesCloses Mar 1, 2027
MedGotcha
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Closes Jan 1, 2028
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUM
ResolverExceptions
94.3¢−1.2¢ 7d
7 daysRange 94.3–95.65¢
High tradability$4.2K 24h vol
MedGotcha
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
Closes Oct 25
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH
Exceptions
15.5¢+1¢ since 00:56 UTC
Since 00:56 UTCRange 14.5–15.5¢
High tradability$4.1K 24h vol
MedGotcha
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Closes Jan 1, 2027
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUM
ResolverWording
4.5¢±0¢ 7d
7 daysRange 4.5–7.5¢
High tradability$3.6K 24h vol
MedGotcha
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
Closes Jul 1, 2027
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 2 MEDIUM
ResolverWordingExceptions
5.5¢−2¢ 7d
7 daysRange 5.5–7.5¢
High tradability$3.5K 24h vol
MedGotcha
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Closes Jan 1, 2027
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH
Resolver
3.15¢−0.1¢ 7d
7 daysRange 3.15–3.55¢
High tradability$3.4K 24h vol
EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)
December 3125%±0 October 318%▼ 2
Change in points, 24hView event →
December 31 · Since Oct 14Range 24–27%
$3.2K 24h vol · all outcomesCloses Nov 1
MedGotcha
BIG MOVE · ▲ 15 PTS
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUM
ResolverExceptions
98.35¢+15.4¢ 7d
7 daysRange 81.05–98.4¢ · explanation pending
Closes Jan 1, 2027High tradability$2.9K 24h vol
MedGotcha
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?
Closes Nov 1
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUM
ResolverWording
5.15¢−18.8¢ 7d
7 daysRange 4.35–25.35¢
High tradability$2.9K 24h vol
MedGotcha
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?
Closes Jan 1, 2027
RESOLUTION RISKS · 3 MEDIUM
ResolverWordingExceptions
2.1¢−1.25¢ 7d
7 daysRange 2.05–4.65¢
High tradability$2.7K 24h vol
MedGotcha
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?
Closes Jan 1, 2027
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUM
ResolverWording
26¢+0.5¢ since Oct 16
Since Oct 16Range 25.5–26.5¢
High tradability$2.4K 24h vol
MedGotcha
BIG MOVE · ▼ 13 PTS
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUM
ResolverWording
33.5¢+2¢ 24h
WHY IT MOVED · NEWS“Zelenskiy Slams Trump's Russia Diesel Deal as Ukraine Peace Talks Stall”econotimes.com · 16 Oct
Closes Jan 1, 2027Med tradability$2.2K 24h vol
EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Maine Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
Jackson 3-6%27%▼ 1 Collins 0-3%20%—Jackson 0-3%16%▼ 1
Change in points, 24hView event →
Jackson 3-6% · Since Oct 17Range 27–33%
$1.6K 24h vol · all outcomesCloses Nov 4
MedGotcha
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Closes Jan 1, 2027
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUM
ResolverWording
6.5¢+1¢ 7d
7 daysRange 5.5–6.5¢
Med tradability$1.5K 24h vol
MedGotcha
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Closes Jan 1, 2027
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUM
ResolverExceptions
4.25¢±0¢ 7d
7 daysRange 4.25–4.35¢
High tradability$1.5K 24h vol
EVENT · 11 OUTCOMES
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
US2%▲ 1 Switzerland1%±0 Qatar / UAE1%±0 China<1%±0 Russia<1%±0
+6 more outcomesView event →
$1.4K 24h vol · all outcomesCloses Jan 1, 2027
EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Next Israeli Minister of National Security?
No Next Minister by Feb 2838%▲ 3 Matan Kahana18%—Itamar Ben Gvir9%▼ 4
Change in points, 24hView event →
No Next Minister by Feb 28 · 7 daysRange 32–56%
$1.4K 24h vol · all outcomesCloses Mar 1, 2027
MedGotcha
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
Closes Nov 29
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUM
Exceptions
30.65¢+15.5¢ 7d
7 daysRange 14.95–37.5¢
Med tradability$1.3K 24h vol
MedGotcha
Will Michigan Wolverines win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
Closes Jan 26, 2027
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUM
ResolverExceptions
0.15¢−0.3¢ since Oct 14
Since Oct 14Range 0.15–0.45¢
High tradability$1.2K 24h vol
MedGotcha
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Closes Jan 1, 2027
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 HIGH · 1 MEDIUM
ResolverExceptionsWording
2.85¢−1.6¢ 7d
7 daysRange 2.8–4.85¢
High tradability$1.1K 24h vol
MedGotcha
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
Closes Jan 1, 2027
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUM
ExceptionsResolver
1.85¢±0¢ 7d
7 daysRange 1.5–2¢
High tradability$942.2 24h vol
MedGotcha
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?
Closes Jan 1, 2027
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUM
ResolverWording
5.4¢−0.05¢ 7d
7 daysRange 5.2–6.5¢
High tradability$899.8 24h vol
MedGotcha
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
Closes Jan 1, 2027
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUM
ResolverWording
3.75¢−1.5¢ 7d
7 daysRange 3.6–5.25¢
High tradability$861.7 24h vol
EVENT · 5 OUTCOMES
What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?
↑ $6,0005%±0 ↑ $7,0003%±0 ↑ $10,0002%±0 ↑ $8,0002%±0 ↑ $15,0001%±0
Change in points, 24hView event →
$845.7 24h vol · all outcomesCloses Dec 31
MedGotcha
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Closes Jan 1, 2028
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUM
ResolverWording
4.3¢−0.75¢ 7d
7 daysRange 0.15–5.05¢
High tradability$762.8 24h vol

Markets

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Saudi airspace closed by...?

Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?

US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?

Iran leader end of 2026?

Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?

Next Premier of British Columbia

Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?

Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)

Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?

Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?

Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?

Maine Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

Next Israeli Minister of National Security?

Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?

Will Michigan Wolverines win the 2027 CFP National Championship?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?

Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?