Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?
Current price
0.6¢
+0.15¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.6%
$244.4K total volume · YES/NO
Medium gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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Resolution relies on a consensus of credible reporting rather than a designated official body or bilateral register, meaning the decider must evaluate news coverage to determine whether an encounter occurred. The rules require the leaders to both be present and interact in person, which introduces some judgment regarding what constitutes an interaction if they merely attend the same multilateral event. The deadline is fixed to December 31, 2026, and geographic attribution rules for disputed territories are explicitly defined.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- High
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no meeting takes place by December 31 ET, this market will resolve to "No meeting before 2027". A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person. For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the next in-person meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin will take place in Switzerland before 2027. It specifies that Ukrainian territory under de facto Russian control is treated as part of Russia.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin next meet in person in Switzerland by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying meeting requires both leaders to be present and interact with each other in person. The market resolves to No if their next meeting takes place in any other location by the deadline, or if no qualifying meeting occurs by December 31, 2026 (resolving to No meeting before 2027). A meeting held on Ukrainian territory under de facto control of Russia is considered part of Russia. The outcome is decided by a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Market deadline: — The meeting must take place by 11:59 PM ET on this date.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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