Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027?
Current price
0.3¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.3%
$250.3K total volume · YES/NO
Medium gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
Show less
This market includes a specific geographical clause: Ukrainian territory under de facto Russian control, such as Crimea, is defined as Russia for resolution purposes. Resolution relies on a consensus of credible reporting rather than an official government confirmation or named media index, requiring judgement on what constitutes credible reporting and whether a brief encounter counts as an in-person interaction. The market specifies a clear expiration cutoff on December 31, 2026.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- High
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no meeting takes place by December 31 ET, this market will resolve to "No meeting before 2027". A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person. For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin's next in-person meeting occurs in Russia before 2027. Notably, any meeting on Ukrainian territory under Russia's de facto control, such as Crimea, counts as taking place in Russia.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin have their next in-person interactive meeting in Russia before December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, with Russian-held Ukrainian territory counting as Russia. The market resolves to No or "No meeting before 2027" if their next meeting occurs in a different location or if no meeting takes place by the deadline. A meeting requires both individuals to be present and interact in person. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Resolution deadline: — Meeting must occur by 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
Community forecasting arrives with the forecast tools.