EVENT · 4 OUTCOMES
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
Change in points, 24hView event →
Politics markets
86 live Polymarket markets in 53 events- EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?
Change in points, 24hView event →No Hormuz Agreement · 7 daysRange 86–97% - MedGotchaBIG MOVE · ▲ 13 PTS
Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 3 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions37.5¢+2¢ 24hWHY IT MOVED · NOT ENOUGH EVIDENCENot enough evidence for a likely driver yet. - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?
Change in points, 24hView event →No Hormuz Agreement · 7 daysRange 80–95% - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Next Israeli Minister of Justice?
Change in points, 24hView event →No Next Minister by Feb 28 · 7 daysRange 31–42% - MedGotcha
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUMResolverExceptions73.5¢+25¢ 7d7 daysRange 48.5–74.5¢ - EVENT · 8 OUTCOMES
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Flávio Bolsonaro <4%47%▲ 7Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%25%▼ 6Lula da Silva <4%21%▲ 2Flávio Bolsonaro 8-12%6%▼ 3Flávio Bolsonaro 12%+3%▼ 1+3 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Alaska Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
Change in points, 24hView event →Peltola 3-6% · Since Oct 18Range 30–36% - EVENT · 7 OUTCOMES
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Benjamin Netanyahu28%▼ 5Naftali Bennett14%±0Avigdor Lieberman3%±0Itamar Ben Gvir<1%±0Ofer Winter<1%±0+2 more outcomesView event → - MedGotcha
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 3 MEDIUMResolverTimingExceptions21.5¢−4¢ 7d7 daysRange 21.5–25.5¢ - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Georgia Governor Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
Change in points, 24hView event →Jackson 0-3% · Since Oct 18Range 25–28% - MedGotcha
Trump out as President before 2027?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 2 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions3.65¢−0.15¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.35–4.15¢ - MedGotcha
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 3 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions13.5¢±0¢ since 00:56 UTCSince 00:56 UTCFlat at 13.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Next Premier of British Columbia
Change in points, 24hView event →Lorne Doerkson · 7 daysRange 75–81% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?
Change in points, 24hView event →No Next Minister by Feb 28 · 7 daysRange 30–43% - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Maine Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
Change in points, 24hView event →Jackson 3-6% · Since Oct 17Range 27–33% - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Next Israeli Minister of National Security?
Change in points, 24hView event →No Next Minister by Feb 28 · 7 daysRange 32–56% - MedGotcha
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMExceptions30.65¢+15.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 14.95–37.5¢ - MedGotcha
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMExceptionsResolver1.85¢±0¢ 7d7 daysRange 1.5–2¢ - MedGotcha
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 2 MEDIUMExceptionsResolverWording27¢+0.5¢ since Oct 16Since Oct 16Range 25.5–27.5¢ - MedGotcha
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverWording1.15¢±0¢ 7d7 daysRange 0.85–1.25¢ - MedGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver60.5¢±0¢ 7d7 daysRange 58.5–60.5¢ - MedGotcha
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 3 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions2.35¢+0.1¢ 7d7 daysRange 2.25–2.45¢ - MedGotcha
Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMExceptionsResolver3.05¢±0¢ 7d7 daysFlat at 3.05¢ - MedGotcha
Will there be no Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 4 MEDIUMResolverTimingWording+133.85¢+2.7¢ 7d7 daysRange 31.15–35.75¢ - MedGotcha
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 3 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions4.2¢+0.2¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.95–4.55¢ - MedGotcha
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 12%-15%?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 3 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions15.5¢±0¢ since 00:56 UTCSince 00:56 UTCFlat at 15.5¢ - MedGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-16 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUMResolverTiming3.9¢−1.1¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.55–6.05¢ - MedGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUMResolverTiming34.5¢+1¢ 7d7 daysRange 32.5–34.5¢ - MedGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-41 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUMResolverTiming95.75¢±0¢ since Oct 16Since Oct 16Range 95.35–96.05¢ - MedGotcha
Lauren Boebert admits to sex with staffer before midterms?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUMResolverWording4.5¢−1¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.5–5.5¢ - MedGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-03 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverTiming94.95¢−0.45¢ 7d7 daysRange 94.15–95.65¢ - MedGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the NV-03 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUMResolverTiming95¢+1¢ since 00:56 UTCSince 00:56 UTCRange 94–95¢ - MedGotcha
Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGHExceptions5.5¢±0¢ since Oct 18Since Oct 18Flat at 5.5¢ - MedGotcha
House favorite on November 2 wins the election?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUMTimingExceptions89¢−2.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 89–91.5¢ - MedGotcha
Will Democrats win white voters in the midterms?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMExceptions15.5¢+4¢ 7d7 daysRange 11.5–15.5¢ - MedGotcha
Will the Republican Party win the CA-45 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverTiming6.5¢−0.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 5–8.5¢ - MedGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-11 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverTiming4.5¢±0¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.5–5.5¢ - MedGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-25 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUMResolverExceptions2.55¢−1.2¢ 7d7 daysRange 1.25–3.75¢ - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Next Senate Majority Leader?
Change in points, 24hView event →Cory Booker · 7 daysFlat at 2% - MedGotcha
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 3 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions5.55¢−0.3¢ 7d7 daysRange 5.5–7.4¢ - MedGotcha
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 3 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions1.3¢−0.1¢ 7d7 daysRange 1–1.4¢ - MedGotcha
Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMExceptions7.7¢+0.4¢ 7d7 daysRange 7.25–9.65¢ - MedGotcha
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGHExceptions4.1¢+0.1¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.4–4.65¢ - MedGotcha
Will Brian Bengs win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGHExceptions6.95¢−0.2¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.7–8.05¢ - MedGotcha
Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUMResolverTiming62.5¢±0¢ 7d7 daysFlat at 62.5¢ - MedGotcha
Will Trump resign before 2027?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 2 MEDIUMExceptionsResolverWording2.25¢−0.25¢ 7d7 daysRange 2.25–2.55¢ - MedGotcha
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 3%-6%?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUMWordingExceptions17.5¢±0¢ since Oct 18Since Oct 18Flat at 17.5¢