Lauren Boebert admits to sex with staffer before midterms?
Current price
4.5¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 4.5%
$1.8K total volume · YES/NO
Medium gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market depends on Lauren Boebert explicitly acknowledging sexual activity with a staffer, which requires subjective interpretation to distinguish genuine statements from sarcasm or jest. The rules allow resolution via official statements or a consensus of credible reporting, leaving room for discretion if media interpretations differ. Additionally, public release of private testimony taken during the market window can trigger resolution, which broadens qualifying evidence beyond direct public speeches or interviews.
- Wording ambiguity
- Med
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lauren Boebert publicly acknowledges that she engaged in sexual activity with at least one person who was, at the time of the activity, an individual employed in Representative Boebert's congressional office, or otherwise employed by the House or Senate under her supervision, between market creation and November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Private testimony that was taken after market creation and made public by the date specified above will count for purposes of this market. A qualifying acknowledgment must be explicit and unambiguous. Statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Lauren Boebert or her official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market tracks whether U.S. Representative Lauren Boebert explicitly admits before November 2, 2026, to having engaged in sexual activity with a congressional staffer employed in her office or under her supervision at the time.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Lauren Boebert publicly acknowledges engaging in sexual activity with at least one person who was employed in her congressional office or under her House/Senate supervision at the time of the activity. Private testimony taken after market creation and published before the deadline also qualifies. A qualifying acknowledgment must be explicit and unambiguous; sarcastic statements, jokes, or immediately retracted claims do not count. The market resolves to No if no qualifying acknowledgment occurs by November 2, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is decided using official statements from Boebert or her legal representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Resolution deadline: — Cutoff at 11:59 PM ET for qualifying public acknowledgment or published testimony
Resolution source
Official information from Lauren Boebert or her official/legal representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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