Next Senate Majority Leader?
8 live outcomes · highest priced: Chuck Schumer at 53% (−4 pts in 24h) · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $118.4K total volume
About this event
This event tracks who will be announced as the next Senate Majority Leader following the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. Each market corresponds to a specific individual being named to the position.
How the outcomes relate
The event consists of individual candidate markets representing potential Senate Majority Leaders. Because resolution is based on the single individual announced as the leader for the party holding the majority, at most one candidate market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
Each market resolves based on the individual announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. Markets remain open until January 3, 2027, resolving upon the first announcement from the party holding the Senate majority. If no majority is established and no leader is announced by June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other".
Key dates
- U.S. General Election: — The election after which the next Senate Majority Leader announcement is tracked.
- Market evaluation date: — The date until which the market remains open to capture the first announcement.
- Resolution cutoff deadline: — Deadline at 11:59 PM ET; if no majority or leader is established, resolves to "Other".
Resolution source
No resolution source is identified in this explainer.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuck Schumer | 53% | ▼ 4 | Med | Low | |
| John Thune | 25% | — | High | Med | |
| Cory Booker | 2% | ▼ 1 | Med | Med | |
| Patty Murray | 2% | ±0 | Med | Med | |
| Steve Daines | 1% | ±0 | Med | Low | |
| John Barrasso | 1% | ±0 | Med | Med | |
| Amy Klobuchar | <1% | ±0 | Med | Low | |
| Mark Kelly | <1% | ±0 | Med | Low | |
| Tom Cotton | — | — | Med | Med | |
| Brian Schatz | — | — | Med | Low | |
| Chris Van Hollen | — | — | Not rated | — |