2028 Presidential Election: Illinois Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Democratic Party at 88% · first close Nov 8, 2028 · $416.9 total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election in Illinois, measuring which political party's nominee wins the most statewide votes.
How the outcomes relate
The event contains one market per political party. Because resolution is based on the party whose candidate wins the most valid statewide votes in Illinois, at most one party market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
A market resolves Yes if its corresponding party's nominee wins the most valid statewide votes in Illinois in the 2028 presidential election, regardless of electoral college vote distribution. Markets resolve early once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC concurrently call the state for the same candidate. If these sources do not reach consensus or do not make calls, resolution relies on official certified results from the state government. If results cannot be definitively determined by December 31, 2029, at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other.
Key dates
- Expected Election Day:
- Resolution Deadline: — 11:59 PM ET deadline for definitive determination
Resolution source
Associated Press, Fox News, NBC, or certified results from the Illinois state government
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 88% | — | Low | Med | |
| Republican Party | 12% | — | Low | Med |