Nigerian Presidential Election Winner
1 live outcome · highest priced: Bola Tinubu at 69% · first close Jan 17, 2027 · $157K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2027 Nigerian presidential election. Markets in this event measure whether specific individual candidates will win the presidential race.
How the outcomes relate
Each market corresponds to a specific candidate competing in the election. Because the election determines a single winner, at most one candidate market can resolve Yes, while the others resolve No.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if its named candidate wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election, including any potential second round. Otherwise, it resolves to No. If definitive results are not known by October 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other". Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting, or in cases of ambiguity, solely by official results from Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission.
Key dates
- Scheduled Election Date: — Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria.
- Resolution Deadline: — If definitive results are not known by 11:59 PM ET on this date, the market resolves to Other.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, with fallback to official results from Nigerian government sources including the Independent National Electoral Commission
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bola Tinubu | 69% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Rotimi Amaechi | — | — | Low | Med | |
| Rabiu Kwankwaso | — | — | Low | Med | |
| Peter Obi | — | — | Low | Med | |
| Omoyele Sowore | — | — | Low | Med | |
| Atiku Abubakar | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Seyi Makinde | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Sandy Onor | — | — | Not rated | — |