Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Democratic at 64% · first close Nov 8, 2028 · $2.5M total volume
About this event
This event tracks which political party's candidate will win the 2028 United States Presidential Election. Individual markets represent specific political parties competing in the election.
How the outcomes relate
Each market corresponds to a political party. Because the market resolves to the single political party whose candidate is elected president, only one party outcome is expected to resolve Yes, while the others resolve No.
How it resolves
The market resolves to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election. Resolution occurs once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same party. If all three sources have not called the race for the same party by the inauguration date, the market resolves based on who is inaugurated.
Key dates
- Election Day: — The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on this date.
- Inauguration Date: — Fallback resolution deadline if all three media sources have not called the race for the same party.
Resolution source
Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC (or whoever is inaugurated if the sources do not reach consensus)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | 64% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Republican | 35% | ±0 | Low | High |