Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The condition for resolution is straightforward, requiring an official revocation of U.S. citizenship before a precise cutoff date and time.
Read the full assessment
The condition for resolution is straightforward, requiring an official revocation of U.S. citizenship before a precise cutoff date and time. Official U.S. government actions of this nature are public legal matters with clear documentation, though the inclusion of a consensus of credible reporting introduces a small amount of interpretive leeway for the resolver.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
3%
chance▼ −0.05 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market explained
This market measures whether Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship is officially revoked by the end of 2026. The resolution depends on official government information or a consensus of credible reporting.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The market resolves No if Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship is not officially rescinded by that date and time. The resolution will be determined by information from the government of the United States. A consensus of credible reporting will also be used as a resolution source.
Resolution source
government of the United States
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-2.5-flash ·