2028 Presidential Election: Iowa Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Republican Party at 69% · first close Nov 8, 2028 · $11.6K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2028 US Presidential Election in Iowa, measuring which political party's presidential candidate will win the most valid statewide votes.
How the outcomes relate
The event consists of individual markets for political parties. Because resolution is based on the party whose candidate wins the most valid statewide votes in Iowa, only one party outcome can resolve Yes, while the others resolve No.
How it resolves
A market resolves Yes if its corresponding party's candidate wins the most valid statewide votes in Iowa in the 2028 presidential election; otherwise, it resolves No. Resolution occurs once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC concurrently call the state for the same candidate. If any of these organizations do not make calls, they are struck from consideration. If there is no consensus among the active sources, resolution relies on certified results from the state government. If results cannot be definitively determined by December 31, 2029, at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other.
Key dates
- Expected Election Day: — The 2028 Presidential Election is expected to take place.
- Resolution Deadline: — Market resolves to Other if results cannot be definitively determined by 11:59 PM ET.
Resolution source
Associated Press, Fox News, NBC, or certified results from the state government
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican Party | 69% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Democratic Party | 30% | ±0 | Low | Med |