PolymarketEvent2 live of 49 outcomes

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

2 live outcomes · highest priced: Teddy Riner at 40% (−1 pts in 24h) · first close Apr 18, 2027 · $733.8K total volume

About this event

This event tracks which individuals will qualify for and appear on the ballot for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Each market measures the ballot status of a specific individual.

How the outcomes relate

The event contains one individual binary market per potential candidate. Because multiple candidates appear on the ballot in a presidential election, more than one market in this event can resolve Yes.

How it resolves

A market resolves to Yes if the named individual is included on the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, it resolves to No. If no official list is published prior to the election, resolution is based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the election does not occur by June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to No.

Key dates

  • Expected election month: April 2027
  • Resolution deadline if no list or election occurs: — June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET

Resolution source

The official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council, or a consensus of credible reporting

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Outcomes for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
OutcomePrice24hGotcha riskTradabilityCloses
Teddy Riner40%▼ 1LowMed
Bruno Retailleau27%▼ 3LowLow
François Hollande32%▲ 6LowMed
Marine Le Pen——Not rated—
Jordan Bardella——Not rated—
Éric Zemmour——Not rated—
Édouard Philippe——Not rated—
David Lisnard——LowMed
Xavier Bertrand——Not rated—
Laurent Wauquiez——Not rated—
François Ruffin——Not rated—
Gabriel Attal——Not ratedLow
Raphaël Glucksmann——Not ratedLow
Jean-Luc Mélenchon——Not ratedMed
Marine Tondelier——Not rated—
Fabien Roussel——Not rated—
Olivier Faure——Not rated—
Dominique de Villepin——Not ratedMed
Ségolène Royal——Not rated—
François Asselineau——Not rated—
Clémentine Autain——Not rated—
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan——Not rated—
Michel Barnier——Not rated—
Valérie Pécresse——Not rated—
François Bayrou——Not rated—
Élisabeth Borne——Not rated—
Yaël Braun-Pivet——Not rated—
Jean Castex——Not rated—
Gérald Darmanin——Not rated—
Carole Delga——Not rated—
Bernard Cazeneuve——Not rated—
Manuel Bompard——Not rated—
Mathilde Panot——Not rated—
Sarah Knafo——Not ratedLow
Sébastien Lecornu——Not rated—
Jean-Michel Fauvergue——Not rated—
Nathalie Arthaud——Not rated—
Delphine Batho——Not rated—
Jérôme Guedj——Not rated—
Karim Bouamrane——Not rated—
Michel-Edouard Leclerc——Not rated—
Manuel Valls——Not rated—
Matthieu Pigasse——Not rated—
Juan Branco——Not rated—
Philippe de Villiers——Not rated—
Bally Bagayoko——Not rated—
Natacha Polony——Not rated—
Christine Lagarde——Not rated—
Jean Lassalle——Not rated—

Highest-priced outcome

Teddy Riner · Since Nov 11Range 40–47%