Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?
Current price
0.3¢
−0.05¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.3%
$238.4K total volume · YES/NO
Medium gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
Show less
This market resolves based on whether the leaders have an in-person encounter where both are present and interact before the end of 2026. What constitutes an interaction is not formally defined beyond in-person contact, meaning brief or incidental exchanges at multilateral events could require subjective interpretation. Furthermore, resolution relies on a consensus of credible reporting rather than an official joint diplomatic communique or named governmental registry, leaving the determination of consensus to the resolver. The rules clarify that any meeting held in Russian-controlled Ukrainian territory counts as Russia, and the market explicitly tracks the next meeting, meaning an intervening meeting elsewhere would resolve the outcome.
- Wording ambiguity
- Med
- Source discretion
- High
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no meeting takes place by December 31 ET, this market will resolve to "No meeting before 2027". A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person. For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the next in-person meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin occurs in Turkey before 2027. A notable rule specifies that any meeting held in Ukrainian territory under Russian de facto control, such as Crimea, is treated as taking place in Russia.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin hold their next in-person meeting in Turkey by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A meeting requires both individuals to be present and interact with each other in person. The market resolves to No if their next meeting takes place in any other location by the deadline, or if no meeting occurs before the cutoff. For location determinations, Ukrainian territory under de facto Russian control counts as Russia. A consensus of credible reporting serves as the primary resolution source.
Key dates
- Resolution deadline: — Deadline for the meeting to take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
Community forecasting arrives with the forecast tools.