Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?
Current price
86.5¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 86.5%
$166.8K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
Show less
This market resolves cleanly based on official results from Ligue 1 determining the champion of the 2026-27 season. Participants should note the explicit early-resolution clause, which triggers a resolution to No as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for the named team to win the title. Additionally, if the season is cancelled, delayed past June 14, 2027, or fails to crown a champion by that cutoff, the market resolves to Other rather than remaining open.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship per the rules of Ligue 1 (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from Ligue 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Paris Saint-Germain will win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Paris Saint-Germain wins the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship. The market resolves to No if at any point it becomes mathematically or structurally impossible for Paris Saint-Germain to win the championship per Ligue 1 rules. The market resolves to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed beyond June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Official information from Ligue 1 serves as the primary resolution source, with a consensus of credible reporting accepted as an alternative.
Key dates
- Season resolution deadline: — The market resolves to Other if the season is postponed past this time or no winner is declared by then.
Resolution source
Official information from Ligue 1 or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
Community forecasting arrives with the forecast tools.