Will Lille win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?
Current price
2.65¢
+0.3¢ · 24h
Implied probability 2.65%
$44.6K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves based on the official winner of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship. Official information from Ligue 1 serves as the primary source, with credible reporting as a secondary backup. Market participants should note two specific procedural clauses: the market will resolve early to No as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for Lille to win the title, and if the season is cancelled, delayed past June 14, 2027, or fails to produce a winner by that date, the market resolves to Other rather than Yes or No.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship per the rules of Ligue 1 (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from Ligue 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Lille will win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship. Resolution includes provisions for early resolution if elimination occurs, as well as a specific deadline triggering an Other resolution if the season is delayed or cancelled.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Lille wins the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship. The market resolves to No if at any point it becomes impossible for Lille to win the championship per the rules of Ligue 1, including elimination in playoffs. The market resolves to Other if the 2026-27 season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Official information from Ligue 1 is the primary resolution source, while a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Season completion cutoff: — Market resolves to Other if the season is postponed past 11:59 PM ET on this date or no winner is declared.
Resolution source
Official information from Ligue 1, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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