Will Monaco win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?
Current price
3.8¢
−1.1¢ · 24h
Implied probability 3.8%
$57.9K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves cleanly based on whether Monaco wins the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship according to official Ligue 1 information. Participants should note the early resolution mechanic, which triggers a negative outcome as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for the team to win the title. Additionally, if the season is cancelled, postponed past June 14, 2027, or no champion is crowned by that deadline, the market is specified to resolve to Other rather than Yes or No.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship per the rules of Ligue 1 (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from Ligue 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Monaco will win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship. It includes a specific cutoff date after which a lack of a declared winner, season cancellation, or postponement leads to resolution as Other.
How it resolves
The market will resolve to Yes if Monaco wins the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship. The market will resolve to No if at any point it becomes impossible for Monaco to win the championship under Ligue 1 rules, such as being eliminated. The market will resolve to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed past June 14, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no champion is declared by that time. Official information from Ligue 1 is the primary resolution source, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Season resolution cutoff: — The market resolves to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed past this time, or if no winner is declared.
Resolution source
Official information from Ligue 1 or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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