Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
Current price
15.75¢
−0.1¢ · 24h
Implied probability 15.75%
$80.8K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
Show less
The market resolves based on the official winner of the 2026-27 Serie A Championship as determined primarily by Serie A, with credible reporting as a secondary backup. Market participants should note two specific procedural rules: the market can resolve to 'No' early as soon as Roma is mathematically eliminated from contention under league rules, and if the season is cancelled, delayed past May 28, 2027, or concludes without a declared winner, the market will resolve to 'Other' rather than standard binary outcomes.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Serie A Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship per the rules of Serie A (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Serie A season is cancelled, postponed after May 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from Serie A; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether AS Roma will win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship. It includes a specific fallback resolution to Other if the season is cancelled or a champion is not declared by late May 2027.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Roma wins the 2026-27 Serie A Championship. The market resolves to No if it becomes mathematically or officially impossible for Roma to win the title under Serie A rules, such as being eliminated in playoffs. The market resolves to Other if the 2026-27 season is cancelled, postponed past May 28, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Official information from Serie A serves as the primary resolution source, with a consensus of credible reporting also accepted.
Key dates
- Resolution Cutoff Deadline: — The market resolves to Other if the season is postponed past 11:59 PM ET on this date or no winner is declared by then.
Resolution source
Official information from Serie A
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
Community forecasting arrives with the forecast tools.