Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
Last captured price
15.9¢
+1.05¢ · 24h
Implied probability 15.9%
$93.9K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market clearly defines resolution around whether the Miami Hurricanes win the 2026-27 College Football Playoff national championship. Resolution relies on official NCAA information or a consensus of credible reporting. Participants should note the early resolution clause, which allows the market to resolve to No immediately if the team is mathematically eliminated before the championship game. Additionally, if the championship is postponed past February 8, 2027, or if no champion is determined by then, the market resolves to Other, and an alphabetical tie-break applies if multiple champions are declared.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the national champion of the 2026-27 College Football Playoff. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the national champion of 2026-27 NCAA Football Division 1 season per the rules of NCAA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after February 8, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the NCAA; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Miami Hurricanes win the 2026-27 College Football Playoff National Championship. It includes specific tie-breaking rules based on alphabetical order and a potential resolution to Other if the event is delayed or cancelled.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Miami Hurricanes are determined as the national champion of the 2026-27 College Football Playoff. If multiple teams are declared winners, resolution favors the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The market resolves to No if the team does not win, or if it becomes impossible for them to be named champion under NCAA rules, such as being eliminated. The market resolves to Other if the event is cancelled, postponed after February 8, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no champion is declared by that time. Resolution is decided using official information from the NCAA, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Postponement cutoff deadline: — If cancelled, postponed after this time, or no champion is declared, the market resolves to Other.
Resolution source
Official information from the NCAA, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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