PolymarketCloses · in 222 daysPart of UEFA Europa League: 2027 Champion →

Will Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?

Current price

10.5¢

+0.5¢ · 24h

Implied probability 10.5%
$26.8K total volume · YES/NO

7-day range 9–11¢

Low gotcha risk

Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment

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The resolution criteria are straightforward and tied to the official outcome of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League tournament. The primary source is official information directly from UEFA. The rules clearly state that if the team is eliminated prior to the final, the market can resolve to No immediately. A clear cutoff date of June 18, 2027 is provided in the event of cancellation or extended postponement, which resolves the market to Other.

Wording ambiguity
Low
Source discretion
Low
Timing risk
Low
Exceptional clauses
Low

Liquidity

Medium tradability

Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.

Book depth $40.5K within 5¢ of mid
Price history range

Price history

Market price
9.8¢10¢10.2¢10.4¢10.6¢07:0615:0523:0307:01
8¢9¢10¢11¢12¢Oct 12Oct 14Oct 16Oct 19
5¢10¢15¢20¢25¢Jul 31Aug 27Sep 22Oct 19

Why it moved

No big moves in the last 7 days.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship per the rules of UEFA Europa League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League season is cancelled, postponed after June 18, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Europa League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Rules history

Rules history is not displayed yet.

Market explained

This market measures whether Milan will win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship. It features early resolution if Milan is eliminated and includes a specific deadline after which an incomplete tournament resolves to Other.

How it resolves

This market resolves to Yes if Milan wins the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship. This market resolves to No if at any point it becomes impossible for Milan to win the tournament per UEFA Europa League rules, such as through elimination in the playoffs. This market resolves to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed past June 18, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared by that time. Official information from UEFA Europa League decides the outcome, with a consensus of credible reporting serving as a secondary option.

Key dates

  • Postponement and resolution cutoff: — The market resolves to Other if the season is postponed beyond this time or if no champion is declared by this date.

Resolution source

Official information from UEFA Europa League, or a consensus of credible reporting

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Community forecast

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