Will Benfica win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?
Current price
16.5¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 16.5%
$10.7K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves based on official UEFA tournament results determining the winner of the 2026-27 Europa League Championship. The rules clearly state that if it becomes mathematically or structurally impossible for the team to win (such as following elimination), the market can resolve to No immediately. There is an explicit longstop deadline of June 18, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, after which cancellation or failure to declare a winner triggers resolution to Other. The primary resolution source is the official governing body, with reporting consensus available only as a backup for what is an objective, high-profile sporting outcome.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship per the rules of UEFA Europa League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League season is cancelled, postponed after June 18, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Europa League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Benfica will win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship. It includes a specific deadline after which the market resolves to Other if no champion is crowned.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Benfica wins the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for Benfica to win the championship under UEFA Europa League rules, such as being eliminated in the playoffs. The market resolves to Other if the 2026-27 season is cancelled, postponed after June 18, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared by that time. Resolution is decided using official information from the UEFA Europa League, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Resolution deadline: — Market resolves to Other if no winner is declared by this cutoff
Resolution source
Official information from UEFA Europa League, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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