Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
Current price
61.5¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 61.5%
$101.7K total volume · YES/NO
Medium gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market relies primarily on official information from Serie A, which provides a definitive authority for identifying the champion. However, there are two key mechanics to monitor. First, the market resolves early to No as soon as mathematical elimination occurs. Second, there is a strict deadline of May 28, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET; if the season runs past this date, requires a post-season tie-breaker playoff, or suffers scheduling postponements, the market will resolve to Other rather than waiting for the trophy to be awarded on the pitch.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Med
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Serie A Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship per the rules of Serie A (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Serie A season is cancelled, postponed after May 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from Serie A; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Inter Milan will win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship. An unusual aspect is that the market can resolve to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed past a specific deadline, or has no declared winner within the specified timeframe.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Inter Milan wins the 2026-27 Serie A Championship. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for Inter Milan to win the championship under the rules of Serie A, including elimination. The market resolves to Other if the 2026-27 Serie A season is cancelled, postponed after May 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Official information from Serie A determines resolution, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Season resolution deadline: — Cutoff time after which cancellation, postponement, or absence of a declared winner leads to an Other resolution.
Resolution source
Official information from Serie A, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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