Will Marseille win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?
Current price
1.7¢
+0.15¢ · 24h
Implied probability 1.7%
$60.6K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves cleanly based on official Ligue 1 league outcomes. It includes an early resolution trigger resolving to No as soon as Marseille is mathematically eliminated from winning the title. In the event the season is cancelled, suspended, or not concluded by June 14, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other rather than forcing a standard binary resolution. Official league sources serve as the primary decider, leaving minimal room for unexpected outcomes.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship per the rules of Ligue 1 (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from Ligue 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Marseille will win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Marseille wins the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship. The market resolves to No if it becomes mathematically or structurally impossible for Marseille to win the championship under Ligue 1 rules, such as being eliminated. The market resolves to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed past June 14, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared by that cutoff. Resolution is decided using official information from Ligue 1, or a consensus of credible reporting if necessary.
Key dates
- Season cutoff deadline: — Market resolves to Other if the season is postponed beyond this time or no champion is declared.
Resolution source
Official information from Ligue 1 or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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