Will Paris FC win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?
Current price
1.9¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 1.9%
$46.6K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The outcome is anchored to the official winner of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship determined by the league itself. A key rule to monitor is the early resolution condition, which specifies that the market will resolve to No as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for the named team to win the title. Additionally, if the season is cancelled, prolonged beyond June 14, 2027, or concludes without a declared winner, the market resolves to Other rather than standard binary settlement.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship per the rules of Ligue 1 (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from Ligue 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Paris FC will win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Paris FC wins the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for Paris FC to win the championship under the rules of Ligue 1, such as being eliminated in playoffs. The market resolves to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed past June 14, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared by that time. Official information from Ligue 1 serves as the primary resolution source, alongside a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Season resolution deadline: — A winner must be declared by 11:59 PM ET or the market resolves to Other.
Resolution source
Official information from Ligue 1, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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