StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Gotcha risk
Medium1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly specify the evaluation time as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following the token's launch, along with a hard deadline of December 31, 2026.
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly specify the evaluation time as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following the token's launch, along with a hard deadline of December 31, 2026. However, resolution relies on the most liquid price source available rather than specifying a single authoritative exchange, index, or aggregator. Because price and reported total supply for fully diluted valuation can vary across decentralized and centralized venues right after a launch, resolving near the threshold requires the decider to choose which platform had the highest liquidity.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
2%
chance▲ +0.15 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of StandX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If StandX (https://x.com/StandX_Official) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Market explained
This market measures whether StandX's token achieves a fully diluted valuation exceeding $200 million one calendar day after its launch.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Fully Diluted Valuation of the StandX token is greater than $200 million at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following its launch. A launch requires the token to be actively, publicly transferable and tradable. The market resolves to No if the valuation does not exceed $200 million at that specific time, or if StandX does not launch a token by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The market is evaluated using the most liquid price source available.
Resolution source
The most liquid price source available
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·