Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Current price
0.05¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.05%
$41.1M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market clearly outlines the condition for resolution: the named individual must win and officially accept the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. Resolution relies on official Democratic Party sources, which provide clear and authoritative records of national convention outcomes. An explicit clause clarifies that any subsequent replacement of the nominee before election day does not reverse a prior resolution once the nomination has been won and accepted. Overall, the criteria are standard and leave little room for unexpected interpretations.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Thin book — large orders will move this price. At the daily check: a spread of 5¢ or more (or none quoted), or less than $2K within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether MrBeast wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for President of the United States.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if MrBeast wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for U.S. president. Any subsequent replacement of the nominee prior to election day does not alter this outcome. The market resolves to No if he does not win and accept the nomination. Resolution is determined by a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Key dates
No key dates are identified in this explainer.
Resolution source
A consensus of official Democratic Party sources
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
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