Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Current price
0.15¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.15%
$1.7M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
Show less
The market resolves based on whether Elissa Slotkin wins and formally accepts the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. The resolution source relies on a consensus of official Democratic Party sources rather than a single specific registry or URL, but party nominations are high-profile, formal events that leave little room for conflicting interpretations. The rules also explicitly note that if the nominee is subsequently replaced prior to election day, the initial resolution stands, which directly matches the scope of the question.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Elissa Slotkin secures and accepts the Democratic Party's nomination for U.S. president in 2028.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Elissa Slotkin wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for U.S. president. The market resolves to No if she does not win and accept the nomination. Any subsequent replacement of the Democratic nominee prior to election day will not change the market resolution. Resolution is determined by a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Key dates
No key dates are identified in this explainer.
Resolution source
A consensus of official Democratic Party sources
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
Community forecasting arrives with the forecast tools.