Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Current price
1.05¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 1.05%
$50.9M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify that resolution requires Chelsea Clinton to win and accept the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, resolving to No otherwise. Resolution relies on a consensus of official Democratic Party sources rather than a single designated document or URL, though formal party nominations are decisive public events. The rules also clarify that any subsequent replacement of the nominee prior to election day will not alter the market resolution.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Chelsea Clinton will win and accept the Democratic Party nomination for U.S. president in the 2028 election.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Chelsea Clinton wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for U.S. president. The market resolves to No if she does not win and accept the nomination. Any replacement of the Democratic nominee prior to election day will not alter the market resolution. A consensus of official Democratic Party sources decides the outcome.
Key dates
No key dates are identified in this explainer.
Resolution source
A consensus of official Democratic Party sources
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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