Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Current price
0.05¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.05%
$42.9M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution criteria are straightforward, requiring the candidate to officially win and accept the Democratic presidential nomination for 2028. Resolution relies on official Democratic Party sources, which provide clear records of convention voting and acceptance. The rules explicitly clarify that any subsequent replacement of the nominee prior to the general election will not alter the market outcome, ensuring that winning the nomination at the convention is the definitive event.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Thin book — large orders will move this price. At the daily check: a spread of 5¢ or more (or none quoted), or less than $2K within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Kim Kardashian wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for President of the United States.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Kim Kardashian wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic nomination for U.S. president. A subsequent replacement of the nominee prior to election day will not change this resolution. The market resolves to No if she does not win and accept the nomination. A consensus of official Democratic Party sources decides the resolution.
Key dates
No key dates are identified in this explainer.
Resolution source
A consensus of official Democratic Party sources
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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